Wednesday, 23 June 2021

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (9, 20, 24, 27) with the draw of 1 May 2021 — its closest relative in 90 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 15% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 June 2021): 20 carried over. Chance says 63% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 132 — the 53th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 129. No two numbers side by side. 56% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.