Saturday, 10 October 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 27, 28, 35) with the draw of 19 September 2020 — its closest relative in 17 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 3.1% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 October 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 63% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 148 — the 74th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 129. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28. 56% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

41 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 25% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.