Wednesday, 16 July 2014

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (4, 22, 32, 34) with the draw of 19 February 2014 — its closest relative in 444 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 15% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 July 2014): 4 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 122 — the 88th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 95. No two numbers side by side. 46% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.