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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Cash Ball · draw

Wednesday, 9 October 2024

ResultCash Ball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 7
  4. 19
  5. 1

The crowdHeld 63% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules4/35 + 1/25 · since Jan 2017draw 2,781 of 3,521 under them

← 2024-10-08All recent draws2024-10-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:45 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 7 19 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:30 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 October 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum1th
  • odd97th
  • low81th
  • widest gap47th
  • neighbours34th
  • spread30th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 318 of each

1301times
3291times
7315times
19313times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Prize breakdown · 2024-10-09

  • Lines in play≈ 20kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$11.7Kto 3.2k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • Match 4 + Cash Ball0 winnerschance said 0.01

Where the money went

  • Match 419%$2.3K
  • Match 337%$4.3K
  • Match 214%$1.7K
  • 4 other tiers30%$3.5K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 4 + Cash Ball0≈ 0.01 by chance$225,000

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

Times drawn before — chance expected 107 of each

193times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,780 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 4 numbers (1, 7, 19) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 December 2022 — its closest relative in 2,780 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 October 2024): 7 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

30

The numbers add up to 30 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 72. No two numbers side by side. 31% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • Match 41≈ 0.36 by chance$2,250
  • Match 3 + Cash Ball1≈ 1.8 by chance$225
  • Match 2 + Cash Ball53≈ 40 by chance$25.00
  • Match 386≈ 45 by chance$50.00
  • Match 1 + Cash Ball305≈ 261 by chance$5.00
  • Match 0 + Cash Ball456≈ 456 by chance$1.00
  • Match 21,652≈ 1.0k by chance$1.00
  • EZ Match663—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈20k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,652 winners, 63% more than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 4 + Cash Ball0$225,000
    Match 41$2,250
    Match 3 + Cash Ball1$225
    Match 386$50.00
    Match 2 + Cash Ball53$25.00
    Match 21,652$1.00
    Match 1 + Cash Ball305$5.00
    Match 0 + Cash Ball456$1.00
    EZ Match663—
    Totals3,217—