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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Cash Ball · draw

Sunday, 21 July 2024

ResultCash Ball

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 10
  3. 18
  4. 19
  5. 4

The crowdHeld 22% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules4/35 + 1/25 · since Jan 2017draw 2,701 of 3,521 under them

← 2024-07-20All recent draws2024-07-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:45 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 10 18 19 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:30 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 July 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 28% of every possible ticket.

  • sum16th
  • odd48th
  • low81th
  • widest gap18th
  • neighbours83th
  • spread15th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 309 of each

5310times
10331times
18304times
19304times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Prize breakdown · 2024-07-21

  • Lines in play≈ 23kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$11.2Kto 3.0k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 8lines took a prize
  • Match 4 + Cash Ball0 winnerschance said 0.02

Where the money went

  • Match 420%$2.3K
  • Match 326%$2.9K
  • Match 1 + Cash Ball15%$1.7K
  • 4 other tiers39%$4.4K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 4 + Cash Ball0≈ 0.02 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

Times drawn before — chance expected 104 of each

4111times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,700 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 4 numbers (10, 18, 19) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 March 2023 — its closest relative in 2,700 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 July 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

52

The numbers add up to 52 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 72. Side-by-side numbers: 18–19. 31% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$225,000
  • Match 41≈ 0.43 by chance$2,250
  • Match 3 + Cash Ball4≈ 2.1 by chance$225
  • Match 2 + Cash Ball59≈ 48 by chance$25.00
  • Match 357≈ 53 by chance$50.00
  • Match 1 + Cash Ball344≈ 306 by chance$5.00
  • Match 0 + Cash Ball536≈ 536 by chance$1.00
  • Match 21,444≈ 1.2k by chance$1.00
  • EZ Match548—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈23k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,444 winners, 22% more than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 4 + Cash Ball0$225,000
    Match 41$2,250
    Match 3 + Cash Ball4$225
    Match 357$50.00
    Match 2 + Cash Ball59$25.00
    Match 21,444$1.00
    Match 1 + Cash Ball344$5.00
    Match 0 + Cash Ball536$1.00
    EZ Match548—
    Totals2,993—