Sunday, 9 April 2023

Its nearest twin

This exact draw has happened before, on 28 December 2022. Chance gave a match this close a 4.2% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 April 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 0 repeated (4% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 69 — the 43th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 72. Side-by-side numbers: 28–29. 31% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.