Friday, 4 October 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 4 numbers (21, 24, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 April 2019 — its closest relative in 949 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 October 2019): 21 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 93 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 72. No two numbers side by side. 31% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.