Wednesday, 17 February 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 4 numbers (2, 25, 31) with the draw of 2 April 2015 — its closest relative in 1,825 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 February 2016): 32 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 90 — the 88th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 68. Side-by-side numbers: 31–32. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.