Saturday, 11 January 2025

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 27, 37, 46) with the draw of 17 January 2024 — its closest relative in 283 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 30% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 January 2025): 11 carried over. Chance says 59% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 145 — the 54th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 141. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 52% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

46 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 32% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.