Monday, 3 April 2023

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (14, 19, 33) with the draw of 24 July 2022 — its closest relative in 2,112 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 April 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 131 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 33–34. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.