Friday, 8 July 2022

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 24, 42) with the draw of 28 May 2022 — its closest relative in 1,843 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 July 2022): 31 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 117 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.