Tuesday, 7 September 2021

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 11, 18) with the draw of 12 August 2021 — its closest relative in 1,539 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 September 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 67 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 41 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.