Saturday, 20 February 2021

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 21, 37) with the draw of 16 March 2020 — its closest relative in 1,340 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 February 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 122 — the 59th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.