Friday, 30 October 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 10, 11) with the draw of 19 September 2020 — its closest relative in 1,227 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 October 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 106 — the 37th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.