Wednesday, 2 November 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (23, 27, 30) with the draw of 23 April 2016 — its closest relative in 930 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 November 2016): 27 carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 123 — the 75th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. No two numbers side by side. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 32 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.