Monday, 8 June 2015

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 17, 33) with the draw of 31 October 2014 — its closest relative in 417 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 June 2015): 9 carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 88 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.