Sunday, 23 March 2014

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 16, 37) with the draw of 10 February 2014 — its closest relative in 503 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 March 2014): 13 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 79 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.