Wednesday, 24 April 2013

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (20, 35, 39) with the draw of 11 April 2013 — its closest relative in 171 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 April 2013): 11 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 117 — the 75th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.