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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
US · IL · ball game
Latest drawMonday, 12 October 2026
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 13 Oct 2026, 16:42 UTC.
6 numbers from 1–52, plus 1 from 1–25. 3,082 draws held here since 2010-01-02 — 685 under the current rules.
Lotto changed its number pool then, which started a new era. Only the 685 draws since count towards number statistics — mixing draws from before a rule change would make any frequency meaningless.
Your numbers, read by every tool
Type the numbers you always play. Has the line ever come up? How close has Lotto come? What has each number done, what does the line look like, and has the same set turned up anywhere else in the world?
Every tool, for this game
Each one opens with Lotto already selected. The line under every title is true of this game’s rules right now — not a promise about its next draw.

In 339 draws every number is expected about 39 times, and a ball favoured by more than 62% over its share would already have shown — see which ones strayed, and how far chance allows.

A number waits 9 draws on average; 5% of the time it waits 26 or more. It is never “due”.

The 6 numbers add up to about 159, give or take 35. Most tickets sit in that bell — and so do most draws.

47.3% of draws contain two numbers side by side. That is the rules talking, not luck.

1,326 possible pairs, each expected together 3.8 times so far — and about 13 will look “special” by chance alone.

All 52 numbers as a constellation of who appeared with whom — indistinguishable from a shuffled sky.

54% of draws repeat a number from the draw before. A whole draw repeating: 0.3% likely by now.

Sorted, the numbers sit about 7.6 apart on average — and every “spread” you can name is exactly as likely as every other.

It takes about 38 draws for every one of the 52 numbers to appear at least once. The last few are the slow ones.

508,963,000 possible tickets. Every one has a face — and a typicality score you can look up.

Seven independent tests of randomness run live against all 339 draws. Any of them can fail; watch whether they do.

The lowest number lands near 8, the highest near 45. Position is a property of sorting, not of the balls.

6/52 rescaled onto the same axes as every other game here. One law, many machines.

Six documented cases of a beaten lottery. Not one involved patterns in past draws.

What the world believes about 7, 8, 13 and 17 — and what every machine says back.

At 30 million tickets, an average line keeps about 52% of a jackpot it wins. Unpopular numbers keep more — and still lose money.

A full wheel of 10 numbers here is 210 tickets. A guarantee is real; a profit is not.

Five folk claims about 6/52 games, each answered with the closed form that kills it — never a tip for the next draw.
Take the record with youRSSJSON feedCSV, every drawDraw nights, in your calendarAPI
This game draws more than once. Each draw is its own record, read on its own: mixing them would put one draw’s numbers above another draw’s prize table.

This is a without-replacement ball game; the Digit Laboratory is for Pick 3 and Pick 4.
Not for this game
The Chernoff Map reads the straight tier of a digit game, which counts tickets on one exact number; a ball game has no such row.
Not for this game
This game draws once a day, so it has no second draw to compare its first with.
Not for this gameThis draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 December 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 39 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 338 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 6 numbers (15, 42, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 July 2014 — its closest relative in 338 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (27 December 2014): 31, 42 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 223 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. Side-by-side numbers: 44–45, 45–46. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →45 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 74% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →The side bet sold beside the ticket. How many people buy it is not published; the prize table gives it away, because a multiplied outcome is reported twice — once for the tickets that paid the extra, once for those that did not.
320 draws, 2012-11-28 to 2014-12-29 · read at m3b*
This add-on changes the odds rather than the prize, so it has no multiplier to price. Take-up only.
1 draws could not answer: the feed reports a bare zero where it holds no count.
What the top prize has been, draw by draw. It climbs while nobody wins and drops to the floor when somebody does — the sawtooth every rollover game draws.
The jackpot has gone 48 draws without a winner. The typical wait here is 29.0 draws.
Happenedwhat chance predicts
Completed waits between wins, against the geometric law those waits follow if every draw is an independent chance at the jackpot. The law takes its one parameter from the waits themselves, so this compares shape, not level.
These waits do not fall away from zero the way the law does — they pile up in the middle. That is what happens when the chance of a win is not the same on every draw of a run: few tickets are sold when the prize is small, and so many when it is enormous that a win becomes close to certain. The wait is more predictable than a constant chance allows, and less predictable than it feels.
| Draws waited | Happened | Chance says |
|---|---|---|
| 0–5 | 0 | 1.7 |
| 6–11 | 1 | 1.4 |
| 12–17 | 1 | 1.1 |
| 18–23 | 2 | 0.9 |
| 24–29 | 2 | 0.7 |
| 30–35 | 1 | 0.6 |
| 36–41 | 1 | 0.5 |
| 42–47 | 0 | 0.4 |
| 48–53 | 0 | 0.3 |
| 54–59 | 0 | 0.3 |
| 60+ | 1 | 1.2 |