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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Thursday, 16 September 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 17
  3. 22
  4. 28
  5. 36
  6. 49

Jackpot$2,150,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025draw 1,051 of 1,616 under them

← 2021-09-13All recent draws2021-09-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:44 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 17 22 28 36 4929 Aug 2026, 09:30 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 1,050 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

82oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 82 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 99% of every possible ticket.

  • sum54th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap27th
  • neighbours26th
  • spread46th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 121 of each

11144times
17126times
22115times
28131times
36

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

137times
49136times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,050 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 22, 28, 36) with the draw of 18 May 2020 — its closest relative in 1,050 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 56% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 September 2021): 28 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

163

The numbers add up to 163 — the 54th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. No two numbers side by side. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

49 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 54% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-16

  • Lines in play≈ 299kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$195.2Kto 44k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.01

Where the money went

  • Match 312%$23.9K
  • Match 237%$72K
  • Match 5 + Extra Shot24%$46K
  • 7 other tiers27%$53.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.01 by chance$2,150,000
  2. Match 54≈ 4.1 by chance$1,840
  3. Match 4258≈ 228 by chance$47.00
  4. Match 34,780≈ 4.5k by chance$5.00
  5. Match 236,002≈ 36k by chance$2.00
  6. Match 5 + Extra Shot1$45,988
  7. Match 4 + Extra Shot3$1,175
  8. Match 3 + Extra Shot47$125
  9. Match 2 + Extra Shot347$25.00
  10. Match 1 + Extra Shot1,010$10.00
  11. Match 0 + Extra Shot1,120$5.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈299k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 4,780 winners, 7% more than the 4.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 60$2,150,000
Match 5 + Extra Shot1$45,988
Match 54$1,840
Match 4 + Extra Shot3$1,175
Match 4258$47.00
Match 3 + Extra Shot47$125
Match 34,780$5.00
Match 2 + Extra Shot347$25.00
Match 236,002$2.00
Match 1 + Extra Shot1,010$10.00
Match 0 + Extra Shot1,120$5.00
Totals43,572—