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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 23 January 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 21
  2. 25
  3. 29
  4. 30
  5. 38
  6. 49

Jackpot$4,400,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025draw 950 of 1,616 under them

← 2021-01-21All recent draws2021-01-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:44 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed21 25 29 30 38 4929 Aug 2026, 09:30 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 949 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 20% of every possible ticket.

  • sum82th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap15th
  • neighbours72th
  • spread12th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 110 of each

21116times
2595times
29113times
30124times
38

Prize breakdown · 2021-01-23

  • Lines in play≈ 627kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$213.1Kto 89k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.03

Where the money went

  • Match 412%$24.7K
  • Match 321%$44.5K
  • Match 235%$75.3K
  • 6 other tiers32%$68.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.03 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

114times
49123times

Every number was expected about that many times after 949 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (21, 30, 38) with the draw of 9 November 2020 — its closest relative in 949 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 January 2021): 25 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

192

The numbers add up to 192 — the 82th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

49 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 55% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$4,400,000
  • Match 55≈ 8.5 by chance$3,543
  • Match 4419≈ 478 by chance$59.00
  • Match 38,909≈ 9.3k by chance$5.00
  • Match 275,328≈ 75k by chance$1.00
  • Match 5 + Extra Shot0$88,563
  • Match 4 + Extra Shot2$1,475
  • Match 3 + Extra Shot56$125
  • Match 2 + Extra Shot490$25.00
  • Match 1 + Extra Shot1,811$10.00
  • Match 0 + Extra Shot2,094$5.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈627k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 8,909 winners, 5% fewer than the 9.3k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$4,400,000
    Match 5 + Extra Shot0$88,563
    Match 55$3,543
    Match 4 + Extra Shot2$1,475
    Match 4419$59.00
    Match 3 + Extra Shot56$125
    Match 38,909$5.00
    Match 2 + Extra Shot490$25.00
    Match 275,328$1.00
    Match 1 + Extra Shot1,811$10.00
    Match 0 + Extra Shot2,094$5.00
    Totals89,114—