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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Thursday, 14 January 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 13
  3. 26
  4. 38
  5. 43
  6. 48

Jackpot$3,800,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025draw 946 of 1,616 under them

← 2021-01-11All recent draws2021-01-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:44 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 13 26 38 43 4829 Aug 2026, 09:30 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 945 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

73oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 73 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 93% of every possible ticket.

  • sum65th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap27th
  • neighbours26th
  • spread70th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 109 of each

5105times
13105times
26114times
38112times
43

Prize breakdown · 2021-01-14

  • Lines in play≈ 617kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$215.1Kto 88k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.03

Where the money went

  • Match 411%$24.4K
  • Match 320%$43.7K
  • Match 234%$74.2K
  • 6 other tiers34%$72.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.03 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

116times
48102times

Every number was expected about that many times after 945 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (26, 38, 43) with the draw of 12 September 2020 — its closest relative in 945 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 January 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

173

The numbers add up to 173 — the 65th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. No two numbers side by side. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 71% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$3,800,000
  • Match 54≈ 8.4 by chance$4,397
  • Match 4444≈ 471 by chance$55.00
  • Match 38,748≈ 9.2k by chance$5.00
  • Match 274,193≈ 74k by chance$1.00
  • Match 5 + Extra Shot0$109,925
  • Match 4 + Extra Shot5$1,375
  • Match 3 + Extra Shot53$125
  • Match 2 + Extra Shot502$25.00
  • Match 1 + Extra Shot1,825$10.00
  • Match 0 + Extra Shot2,179$5.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈617k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 8,748 winners, 5% fewer than the 9.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$3,800,000
    Match 5 + Extra Shot0$109,925
    Match 54$4,397
    Match 4 + Extra Shot5$1,375
    Match 4444$55.00
    Match 3 + Extra Shot53$125
    Match 38,748$5.00
    Match 2 + Extra Shot502$25.00
    Match 274,193$1.00
    Match 1 + Extra Shot1,825$10.00
    Match 0 + Extra Shot2,179$5.00
    Totals87,953—