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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · draw
ResultLotto
Jackpot$6,500,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/52 + 1/25 · Oct 2012 – Jan 2015draw 279 of 339 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:44 UTC.
Lotto was a 6/52 + 1/25 · Oct 2012 – Jan 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 278 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 August 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 68% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 32 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 278 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 6 numbers (8, 17, 52) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 May 2014 — its closest relative in 278 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (9 August 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 152 — the 42th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. No two numbers side by side. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →8 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 51% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈541k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 7,723 winners, 4% fewer than the 8.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 6 | 1 | $6,500,000 |
| Match 5 plus Extra Shot | 0 | $0.00 |
| Match 5 | 3 | $4,671 |
| Match 4 plus Extra Shot | 2 | $1,300 |
| Match 4 | 375 | $52.00 |
| Match 3 plus Extra Shot | 27 | $125 |
| Match 3 | 7,723 | $5.00 |
| Match 2 plus Extra Shot | 234 | $25.00 |
| Match 2 | 62,465 | $1.00 |
| Match 1 plus Extra Shot | 795 | $10.00 |
| Match 0 plus Extra Shot | 903 | $5.00 |