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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 15 March 2014

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 16
  3. 31
  4. 36
  5. 44
  6. 48
  7. 23

Jackpot$17,500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/52 + 1/25 · Oct 2012 – Jan 2015draw 215 of 339 under them

← 2014-03-13All recent draws2014-03-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:44 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 16 31 36 44 48 + 2329 Aug 2026, 09:30 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/52 + 1/25 · Oct 2012 – Jan 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 214 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 March 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 65% of every possible ticket.

  • sum78th
  • odd21th
  • low21th
  • widest gap43th
  • neighbours26th
  • spread41th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 25 of each

1125times
1620times
3131times
3627times
4428times
4822times
Stars · a separate 1-of-25 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 9 of each

233times

Every number was expected about that many times after 214 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (16, 31, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 December 2013 — its closest relative in 214 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 March 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

186

The numbers add up to 186 — the 77th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. No two numbers side by side. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 63% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2014-03-15

  • Lines in play≈ 968kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$281.4Kto 129k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.05

Where the money went

  • Match 413%$36.9K
  • Match 324%$67.5K
  • Match 240%$111.7K
  • 6 other tiers23%$65.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.05 by chance$17,500,000
  2. Match 518≈ 13 by chance$1,461
  3. Match 4664≈ 738 by chance$55.50
  4. Match 313,498≈ 14k by chance$5.00
  5. Match 2111,730≈ 116k by chance$1.00
  6. Match 4 plus Extra Shot1$1,388
  7. Match 3 plus Extra Shot50$125
  8. Match 2 plus Extra Shot392$25.00
  9. Match 1 plus Extra Shot1,355$10.00
  10. Match 0 plus Extra Shot1,612$5.00
  11. Match 5 plus Extra Shot0no winners
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈968k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 664 winners, 10% fewer than the 738 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 60$17,500,000
Match 5 plus Extra Shot0$0.00
Match 518$1,461
Match 4 plus Extra Shot1$1,388
Match 4664$55.50
Match 3 plus Extra Shot50$125
Match 313,498$5.00
Match 2 plus Extra Shot392$25.00
Match 2111,730$1.00
Match 1 plus Extra Shot1,355$10.00
Match 0 plus Extra Shot1,612$5.00