Monday, 1 November 2010

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (13, 23, 52) with the draw of 11 October 2010 — its closest relative in 130 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 87% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 October 2010): 1 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 129 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. No two numbers side by side. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 59% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.