Thursday, 14 August 2025

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (11, 18, 23, 44) with the draw of 1 August 2024 — its closest relative in 1,603 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 23% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 August 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 123 — the 60th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.