Friday, 2 August 2024

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 9, 27, 31) with the draw of 19 July 2017 — its closest relative in 1,226 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 18% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 August 2024): 30 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 102 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 30–31. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.