Sunday, 5 November 2023

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (10, 30, 36, 39) with the draw of 26 August 2020 — its closest relative in 955 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 15% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 November 2023): 39 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 155 — the 92th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 43 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.