Wednesday, 29 January 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 22, 38) with the draw of 9 March 2019 — its closest relative in 302 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 January 2020): 1 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 115 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.