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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Fantasy 5 · draw
ResultFantasy 5
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/42 · since Oct 2015draw 3,216 of 4,017 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:43 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 August 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 93% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 383 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,215 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (2, 25, 27, 29) with the draw of 17 July 2019 — its closest relative in 3,215 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 50% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (3 August 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 93 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 108. No two numbers side by side. 41% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →25 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈170k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 1,421 winners, 7% more than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 | 0 | $125,000 |
| Match 4 | 38 | $153 |
| Match 3 | 1,421 | $8.00 |
| Match 2 | 15,548 | $0.00 |
| Totals | 17,007 | — |