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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Fantasy 5 · draw
ResultFantasy 5
Jackpot$263,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/42 · since Oct 2015draw 2,527 of 4,017 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:43 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 September 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 51% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 301 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 2,526 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 27, 40) with the draw of 9 July 2022 — its closest relative in 2,526 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (14 September 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 130 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 108. Side-by-side numbers: 16–17. 41% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →16 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈231k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 1,673 winners, 7% fewer than the 1.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 | 0 | $263,000 |
| Match 4 | 53 | $180 |
| Match 3 | 1,673 | $12.00 |
| Match 2 | 21,087 | $0.00 |
| Totals | 22,813 | — |