Tuesday, 11 June 2024

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (7, 9, 11) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 December 2023 — its closest relative in 222 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 June 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 59% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 0 repeated (100% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 103 — the 11th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 141. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8, 8–9. 52% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.