Tuesday, 15 March 2022

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (20, 22, 33, 37) with the draw of 28 April 2020 — its closest relative in 325 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 34% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 March 2022): 33, 37 carried over. Chance says 59% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 172 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 141. Side-by-side numbers: 19–20. 52% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

41 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 47% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.