Friday, 6 November 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (23, 27, 31, 39) with the draw of 24 January 2020 — its closest relative in 184 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 21% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 November 2020): 27 carried over. Chance says 59% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 147 — the 57th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 141. No two numbers side by side. 52% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 27% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.