Friday, 28 February 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (25, 30, 31, 37) with the draw of 8 November 2019 — its closest relative in 112 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 13% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 February 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 59% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 182 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 141. Side-by-side numbers: 30–31. 52% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

43 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 37% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.