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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Fantasy 5 · draw · evening
eveningFantasy 5
Jackpot$56,223
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/36 · since Jan 2012draw 4,344 of 5,352 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 17 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 September 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 29 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 8% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 603 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 4,343 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (17, 22, 26, 31) with the draw of 31 October 2024 — its closest relative in 4,343 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 83% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (15 September 2026): 28 carried over. Chance says 55% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 124 — the 92th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 93. No two numbers side by side. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →22 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈390k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 4,706 winners, 2% fewer than the 4.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 | 2 | $56,223 |
| Match 4 | 159 | $114 |
| Match 3 | 4,706 | $10.50 |
| Match 2 | 46,506 | — |