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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Fantasy 5 · draw · midday
middayFantasy 5
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/36 · since Jan 2012draw 158 of 5,446 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:42 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 September 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 34% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 22 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 157 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 6, 23) with the draw of 18 August 2023 — its closest relative in 157 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 87% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (27 September 2023): 4 carried over. Chance says 55% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 68 — the 13th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 93. No two numbers side by side. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →23 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈231k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 3,587 winners, 26% more than the 2.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 | 0 | $0.00 |
| Match 4 | 148 | $440 |
| Match 3 | 3,587 | $7.00 |
| Match 2 | 27,517 | $0.00 |
| Totals | 31,252 | — |