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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Fantasy 5 · draw · midday
middayFantasy 5
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/36 · since Jan 2012draw 11 of 5,444 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:42 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 May 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 1 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 10 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 1 of 5 numbers (29) with the draw of 3 May 2023 — its closest relative in 10 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (3 May 2023): 29 carried over. Chance says 55% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 120 — the 89th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 93. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30, 30–31. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →30 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈233k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 2,818 winners, 2% fewer than the 2.9k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 | 1 | $67,629 |
| Match 4 | 84 | $130 |
| Match 3 | 2,818 | $10.50 |
| Match 2 | 27,735 | $0.00 |
| Totals | 30,638 | — |