Friday, 2 August 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (18, 21, 35) with the draw of 25 June 2019 — its closest relative in 2,425 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 August 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 55% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 113 — the 81th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 93. Side-by-side numbers: 35–36. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.