Monday, 17 July 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 21, 23) with the draw of 7 May 2017 — its closest relative in 1,909 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 July 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 55% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 102 — the 66th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 93. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.