Wednesday, 21 June 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 19, 33) with the draw of 8 May 2017 — its closest relative in 1,883 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 June 2017): 15 carried over. Chance says 55% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 106 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 93. No two numbers side by side. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.