Thursday, 20 November 2014

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (7, 19, 26, 28) with the draw of 3 October 2014 — its closest relative in 1,054 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 35% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 November 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 55% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 86 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 93. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.