Friday, 30 May 2014

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (19, 30, 34) with the draw of 24 May 2014 — its closest relative in 880 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 May 2014): 34 carried over. Chance says 55% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 137 — the 98th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 93. Side-by-side numbers: 30–31. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.