Tuesday, 16 April 2024

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (1, 18, 24, 25, 34) with the draw of 11 April 2018 — its closest relative in 2,303 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 22% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 April 2024): 24, 30 carried over. Chance says 71% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 132 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 108. Side-by-side numbers: 24–25. 63% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.