Monday, 2 May 2022

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 15, 27, 33) with the draw of 11 November 2019 — its closest relative in 1,885 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 April 2022): 1 carried over. Chance says 71% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 116 — the 63th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 108. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 63% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.