Monday, 1 June 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (7, 22, 30, 34) with the draw of 3 February 2017 — its closest relative in 1,586 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 May 2020): 20 carried over. Chance says 71% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 145 — the 94th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 108. No two numbers side by side. 63% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.