Wednesday, 13 February 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (1, 30, 33, 34, 35) with the draw of 28 September 2018 — its closest relative in 1,384 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 14% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 February 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 71% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 157 — the 98th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 108. Side-by-side numbers: 33–34, 34–35. 63% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.