Wednesday, 10 October 2018

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 9, 15, 26) with the draw of 24 July 2017 — its closest relative in 1,330 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 October 2018): 8, 9, 15 carried over. Chance says 71% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 95 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 108. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9. 63% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.