Monday, 6 November 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 17, 23, 31) with the draw of 12 August 2016 — its closest relative in 1,186 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 November 2017): 2, 31 carried over. Chance says 71% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 97 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 108. No two numbers side by side. 63% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.