Friday, 23 December 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 8, 29, 34) with the draw of 26 September 2016 — its closest relative in 1,050 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 December 2016): 29 carried over. Chance says 71% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 117 — the 64th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 108. Side-by-side numbers: 28–29. 63% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.